Economic Outlook 2014

By: Prof. Mudrajad Kuncoro, Ph.D1   Depreciation of rupiah and decline in the composite share price index has caused panic in the business community.  Enterprises dealing in tofu-soybean cake, electronic goods and a number of enterprises that produce products that have high import content are screaming about the…

International 2013:Q4

The Indonesia trade balance performance has improved as by October 2013. The Indonesia trade balance which registered deficit of USD 0.8 billion in September 2013, became a surplus once again of USD 0.04 billion in October 2013. Improvement in the performance of the trade balance was in part…

Developments in Government Finances and Fiscal 2013:Q4

A. Developments in Fiscal SectorThe decline in economic growth has had adverse effect on tax revenues. Indonesian economic growth declined in 2013. On  y-o-y basis, the economy posted growth of 6.05%, 5,83%, 5.62%, in quarter I, quarter II, and III, 2013, respectively, which was lower than 6.2% projected…

Developments in Monetary Sector 2013:Q4

As a consequence of weakening economic growth, the volume of money in (M2) circulation in broad sense also showed a decline. M2 growth in October 2013 slowed to 13.02% (y-o-y) from 14.57% (y-o-y) in the previous month. On the contrary, growth in M1 increased to 10.48% (y-o-y) from…

Latest Economic Developments 2013:Q4

Indonesian economic growth in the third quarter slowed. This is line with predictions of GAMA Leading Economic Indicator which was generated on the basis of analysis of the   Macroeconomic Dashboard team.  Consensus results predicted that Indonesian economy would register the growth rate of   5.57% ± 0.28% in the…

Ekonomi ASEAN : Pertumbuhan Melambat, Perbaikan Tidak Secepat Harapan

Gambar 22: Tingkat Pertumbuhan PDB Negara Anggota ASEAN Berdasarkan Harga Konstan, Tahun 1998–Q3/2013 (y-o-y, dalam %) Perekonomian ASEAN masih cenderung melambat hingga tutup tahun ditengah ketidakpastian ekonomi global  Sumber: IMF, CEIC (2013)   Mendekati penghujung tahun 2013, pertumbuhan ekonomi negara-negara kawasan anggota Association of South East Asian Nations…

Economic Outlook 2014

Melemahnya nilai tukar rupiah dan merosotnya Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan membuat panik pelaku bisnis. Pengusaha tahu-tempe, barang elektronik, dan sejumlah usaha yang memiliki kandungan impor tinggi mulai berteriak karena dollar tinggi. Benarkah faktor eksternal semata ataukah fundamen ekonomi Indonesia yang “rapuh” sehingga rawan terhadap guncangan eksternal?   Gambar…

GAMA Leading Economic Indicator and Economic Outlook 2013:IV

Leading Economic Indicator merupakan salah satu model early warning system untuk memprediksi pergerakan ekonomi di masa depan. GAMA Leading Economic Indicator (GAMA LEI) merupakan model peramalan yang dikembangkan oleh Tim Macroeconomic Dashboard FEB UGM. Peramalan yang dihasilkan dalam model GAMA LEI ini mampu memprediksi arah pergerakan perekonomian Indonesia…

Indonesia mengalami inflasi sebesar 3,72% y-o-y atau 0,13% m-t-m pada Agustus 2017. (BPS)  *  BI Repo Rate turun 0,25 pp menjadi 4,25 persen (Bank Indonesia)  *  Juli 2017, cadangan devisa Indonesia sebesar USD 128,79 miliar. (Bank Indonesia)  *  Info terbaru